中国历史时期气候变化对社会发展的影响<sup>&#x0002A;</sup>

doi:10.7605/gdlxb.2017.04.057

古地理学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (4): 729-736. doi: 10.7605/gdlxb.2017.04.057

• 古今地理环境及人类文明 • 上一篇下一篇

中国历史时期气候变化对社会发展的影响^*

方修琦¹, 萧凌波², 苏筠¹, 郑景云³, 魏柱灯⁴, 尹君³

1 北京师范大学地理科学学部地理学院,北京 100875;
2 中国人民大学清史研究所,北京 100872;
3 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所陆地表层格局与模拟重点实验室,北京 100101;
4 南京信息工程大学科学技术史研究院,江苏南京 210044

收稿日期:2017-03-15 修回日期:2017-05-08 出版日期:2017-08-01 发布日期:2017-08-07
作者简介:方修琦,男,1962年生,教授,主要从事环境演变及其影响研究。E-mail: xfang@bnu.edu.cn。
基金资助:
*国家自然科学基金项目“中国历史气候与社会系统周期变化的协同效应分析”(编号: 41371201)和全球变化研究国家重大科学研究计划(973计划)课题“暖期气候对中国社会经济的影响与人类适应研究”(编号: 2010CB950103)联合资助

Social impacts of climate change on the history of China

Fang Xiuqi¹, Xiao Lingbo², Su Yun¹, Zheng Jingyun³, Wei Zhudeng⁴, Yin Jun³

1 School of Geography,Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875;
2 The Institute of Qing History,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872;
3 Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation,Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101;
4 Institute for the History of Science and Technology,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,Jiangsu

Received:2017-03-15 Revised:2017-05-08 Online:2017-08-01 Published:2017-08-07
About author:Fang Xiuqi, born in 1962, obtained his Ph.D. degree from Beijing Normal University in 1994, now is a professor in Physical Geography at School of Geography, Beijing Normal University. His major research field is environment change. E-mail: xfang@bnu.edu.cn.
Supported by:
Co-funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41371201)and the Major State Basic Research Development Program of China(973 Program)(No.2010CB950103)

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 历史时期气候变化对社会发展的影响与人类适应问题,是当前全球变化领域的研究热点之一。近年来,在利用丰富的历史文献资料研究中国历史时期(特别是过去2000年时段)气候变化与人类社会相互作用的过程机理方面取得了一系列新成果。本文将其归纳为3个方面: 理论上,构建了基于粮食安全的气候影响传递过程分析框架;方法上,实现了服务于气候变化影响研究的、基于语义差异的历史社会经济序列定量重建;科学认识上,总结出“冷抑暖扬”而又福祸相依的宏观韵律。在此基础上,对未来研究需要进一步深化的方向进行了展望。

关键词: 历史时期, 气候变化, 社会影响, 中国

Abstract: Social impacts of historical climate change and human adaptation are one of the hotspots in the current global change research. In recent years,utilizing the abundant historical literatures,new progress on the interaction mechanisms and processes within the human-climate-ecosystem complex in China during the past 2000 years,has been achieved. It could be summarized as follows: Firstly,a concept model of impact and response of historical climate change in China based on food security has been built;Secondly,a series of historical social-economic series on the base of semantic differential to serve the research on impacts of climate change have been quantitatively reconstructed;Thirdly,the general characteristics of the impacts of historical climate change could be summarized as negative in the cold periods and positive in the warm periods,with time and space differences in the impact and responses.In the future,the studies on historical climate impacts should be focused on spatial and temporal diversification,regional comprehensive analysis and comparison,and multidiscipline integration.

Key words: historical period, climate change, social impact, China

中图分类号:

K901.9

方修琦, 萧凌波, 苏筠, 郑景云, 魏柱灯, 尹君. 中国历史时期气候变化对社会发展的影响^*[J]. 古地理学报, 2017, 19(4): 729-736.

Fang Xiuqi, Xiao Lingbo, Su Yun, Zheng Jingyun, Wei Zhudeng, Yin Jun. Social impacts of climate change on the history of China[J]. JOPC, 2017, 19(4): 729-736.

http://www.gdlxb.cn/CN/Y2017/V19/I4/729

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